Exit Velo
For new baseball fans and fantasy players who want to understand what the numbers actually mean. Statcast data, advanced analytics, and draft strategy — explained through player stories, without the jargon.
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Why Matt McLain's K% Drop Is the Only Spring Number Worth Watching
In 2025, Matt McLain hit .220 and carried a 28.9 percent strikeout rate like an albatross on the shoulders of a cursed sailor. This spring he's batting .542 with an 11.3 percent strikeout rate. The sample is small. The .542 won't survive contact with real pitching in a real season. But some of it might.
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The Pop-Up Problem
There is a hitter who put more than half of his fly balls straight up into the infield this spring. He hit .103. One week before Opening Day, the Washington Nationals sent him to Triple-A. The batting average is noise. The pop-up rate is not.
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Why the Best Contact Quality at First Base Doesn't Always Mean the Most Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the ball harder than almost anyone in baseball last season. His maximum exit velocity was 120.4 miles per hour, a career high. He hit 23 home runs, roughly 15 fewer than his contact quality said he deserved. The reason is attack angle, and it changes how you should be drafting first base in 2026.
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